Financial predictors of real activity and the propagation of aggregate shocks
نویسنده
چکیده
Bond yield and retail interest rate spreads are presumed to lead real activity on the basis of financial accelerator mechanisms, markup cyclicality or simply because they are forward-looking. Empirical results for Austria show that retail rate spreads outperform many other indicators in this respect. Nevertheless, there is no evidence for a financial accelerator being behind this finding.
منابع مشابه
Institutional Requirements for Enhancing Financial Stability in Iran
The conditions in which the financial system can continuously provide the necessary services for the proper functioning of the economy is called “financial stability”. In this study, using global experience and Iranian data from 1990 to 2016, an aggregate index of financial stability for Iran has been constructed under the four dimensions of "deposit taker institutions", "macroeconomics", "for...
متن کاملFirm Risk and Leverage-Based Business Cycles
I characterize cyclical fluctuations in the cross-sectional dispersion of firm-level productivity. Using the micro-estimated dispersion, or “risk,” stochastic process as an input to a baseline DSGE financial accelerator model, I assess how well the model reproduces cyclical movements in both real and financial conditions of the economy. In the model, risk shocks calibrated to micro data lead to...
متن کاملEffect of Exchange Rate Change Shocks on Systemic Risk Index Among Mutual Funds
Financial stability is amongst the issues that have been increasingly considered over the past two decades. Today, money and capital markets play a substantial role in the development of societies, but at the same time, this development will be problematic if it is not accompanied by a program, control, and supervision. The main reason is that, due to the correlation between the real and financ...
متن کاملPropagation of Financial Shocks in an Input-Output Economy with Trade and Financial Linkages of Firms
Because of delays to input payments, production linkages coincide with trade credit linkages. This paper investigates how these interconnected production and financial linkages of firms propagate shocks upstream and downstream in an input-output model. Theoretically, I obtain that financial frictions in trade and financial linkages of firms are necessary features for generating strong upstream ...
متن کاملThe Effect of Oil Shocks on the Performance of Banks
Crude oil is the most important input in production, and its price shocks are remarkable because of its significant impact on the real economy. Oil is important in economic activity and financial markets. The shock of oil prices may also affect the performance of banks, with adverse effects on macroeconomics such as consumption and investment. The purpose of this study was to investigate the...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
دوره شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2006